Cisco Systems Inc. showed stronger-than-expected resilience in its earnings Wednesday and shares went higher in after-hours trading, but the tech giant’s sales are declining amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
The maker of network services, videoconferencing tools and security software reported third-quarter net income of $2.8 billion, or 65 cents a share, as revenue declined 8% to $12 billion from $12.96 billion in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock compensation and other effects, Cisco reported earnings of 79 cents a share, up slightly from 78 cents a share a year ago.
Analysts surveyed by FactSet had projected adjusted earnings of 71 cents a share on revenue of $11.9 billion on average, though those expectations have come down significantly since COVID-19 began to spread across the globe. Analysts expected adjusted earnings of 80 cents a share on sales of $12.7 billion at the end of 2019.
The third-quarter results, announced after the market’s close Wednesday, initially sent Cisco
shares up 3% in after-hours trading. Cisco stock has dipped 20% the past 12 months, while the S&P 500 index
has inched down 1%. Since March 12, however, Cisco shares have jumped 30%.
“The pandemic has driven organizations across the globe to digitize their operations and support remote workforces at a faster speed and greater scale than ever before. We remain focused on providing the technology and solutions our customers need to accelerate their digital organizations,” Cisco Chief Executive Chuck Robbins said in a statement announcing the results. More than 95% of Cisco’s 75,900 employees are working from home, he added.
In a conference call with analysts Wednesday afternoon, Robbins referred to the current economic landscape as “the greatest financial crisis in our lifetime” — an unpredictable turn of events that abruptly disrupted what had, until early March, been a strong quarter. “We believe we will surface from this crisis better than before,” he said, a nod to Cisco’s product flexibility and resiliency.
“We were at the epicenter of the [dot-com] bubble 20 years ago,” Robbins said later. “This one is more secondary collateral damage. This is broad-based … at a level we have never seen before.”
Cisco Chief Financial Officer Kelly Kramer told MarketWatch that what makes the pandemic so difficult to navigate is that it worldwide, and has sent the global GDP down. The dot-com bust, by comparison, was an inflated stock market in the U.S., she said.
As a major provider of networking equipment, Cisco is a crucial barometer of demand for information technology by major corporations. The results underscore softness in overall IT spending in the age of COVID-19 despite insatiable demand for certain aspects — namely videoconferencing and network infrastructure.
For the fiscal fourth quarter, Cisco expects revenue decreases to accelerate, guiding for a year-over-year sales decline of 8.5% to 11.5% after hitting more than $13 billion in revenue in the year-ago quarter, suggesting that sales will come in lower than $12 billion. Analysts on average expected fourth-quarter revenue of $12.07 billion, after shaving off more than $750 million in response to COVID-19.
LIke its big profit beat on Wednesday, however, Cisco continues to exceed expectations with its earnings forecast. For the fourth quarter, the company expects adjusted earnings of 72 to 74 cents a share, topping the average analyst expectation of 71 cents a share, according to FactSet.
Indeed, some elements of the “work-from-home scenario will not go away,” Robbins said. “We will continue to accelerate deployments and strategy around 5G.”
The quarterly report and fourth-quarter guidance illustrate that Cisco, long-term, is well-positioned in product categories for collaboration, edge networking, security, high-speed networking and hybrid cloud, according to Patrick Moorhead, principal analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy.